Basic Assumptions

Some of the assumptions present in the following considers during preparation of population projection. Those assumptions are:

 – Characteristics of the more recent periods of development in the Pourashava expects to continue in future.

– Existing density of population, major activities i.e., Trade, Commerce, Service and higher sex ratio reveals the flourishing economic development of the Pourashava in recent years.

– Population is assumed to increase at a geometric rate; i.e. with each unit of time.

– Absolute addition of population continues to get larger and larger.

– Exponential growth will affect by modern medicine, quality and quantity of food and overall living standard.

– If human continues to reproduce at present rate, earth’s capacity for the species possibly exceeds.

– Projected areas will experience faster growth.

Projected Population

According to the annual growth rate, the population adjusts by following the year 2011. The projected population (20,193  according to the liner growth and 21,788 according to the exponential growth) in the year 2011 considers as base-year population.

Medium growth rate (4.10%) considers appropriate for Bakerganj Pourashava. Total population in the planning area on the basis of exponential growth rate will be 26636, 32563, 39808 and 48666 in the years 2016, 2021, 2026 and 2031 respectively. Population according to the exponential growth rate considers for population projection.